Find all the books, read about the author, and more. The worldfamous economist and writer doesnt mince his words. His 2007 book the black swan has been described by the sunday times as one of the twelve most influential. Prethodni pasus prepricao sam iz knjige crni labud koju ovih dana sa zadovoljstvom iscitavam. Mar, 2017 nassim taleb, the polarizing author of bestselling books the black swan and antifragile.
Nassim nicholas taleb empirical evidence that the boat is safe. Nassim taleb, hedgefund adviser and author of the black swan, may be a prophet of doom when it comes to the perilous state of financial markets, but, in a rare splash of cheer, he says he. The hidden role of chance in life and in the markets, and more on. Risk is both precautionary fragility based and evidentiary statistical based. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were. Taleb calls this the black swan theory the book covers subjects relating to knowledge. Media in category nassim nicholas taleb the following 6 files are in this category, out of 6 total. His incerto the body of his work, latin for uncertaintyhas changed my life more profoundly than any author except maybe nietzsche or seneca.
Nassim taleb author of the renowned black swan book said people are sick of being told how to think by hapless eurocrats who couldnt find a coconut on coconut island. The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. Nassim taleb, universa investments scientific advisor and distinguished professor of risk engineering at nyu, warned of an acute virus spreading throughout the planet in his 2007 book the black swan. Psihologija i osobni razvoj, novi drustveni i ekonomski procesi oznake aktualni dogadaji, bijeli labud, crni labud, danasnjica, empirijski skepticizam, iznimni dogadaji, nassim nicholas taleb, percepcija dogadaja, povijesni dogadaji, spekulant, utjecaj krajnje nevjerojatnog, zvonolika krivulja. I was surprised to learn that nassim taleb had a problem with my book the better angels of our nature, because its analysis of war and terrorism harmonizes with talebs signature themes. Koncept je popularizirao libanonskoamericki statisticar nassim nicholas taleb u svojoj bestselerknjizi the.
The impact of the highly improbable is a 2007 book by author and former options trader nassim nicholas taleb. Nassim nicholas taleb books list of books by author nassim. Pdf the black swan nassim nicholas taleb toi iot academia. What does nassim nicholas taleb think of bayesian analysis. The wellknown author of the black swan and other books has. Crni labud by nassim nicholas taleb hardcover pdf, epub, fb2, djvu, audiobook, mp3, zip 438 pages isbn.
Nassim nicholas taleb is far and away my favorite thinker living today. Every day, nassim nicholas taleb and thousands of other voices read, write, and share important stories on medium. View nassim nicholas taleb research papers on academia. Nasim nikolas taleb je autor, ucenjak, statisticar, nekadasnji. The impact of the highly improbable, fb2, doc, rtf, html, txt. Crni labud by nassim nicholas taleb pdf, epub, fb2, djvu. Nassim nicholas taleb books list of books by author. Things that gain from disorder, by taleb, a philosopher. However he is an empiricist and a skeptical one meaning he does not believe bayesian priors come from any source other than experience. Fooled by randomness varljiva slucajnost, the black swan crni labud, the. Indeed, they should be antifragile ready to gain from disorder or uncertainty.
I have read one of his books antifragile and liked the concept in general. Nassim taleb latest breaking news, pictures, videos, and special reports from the economic times. According to nassim nicholas taleb, people and institutions can and should position themselves to be convex. Gordon brown is an idiot, obama a fossil system taleb calls a spade a spade, and probably a few things more. Harry campbell in titling his new book, nassim nicholas taleb has coined a new word. Comments on nassim talebs the long peace is a statistical illusion steven pinker. Nassim nicholas taleb is an essayist, belletrist, and researcher only interested in one single topic, chance particularly extreme and rare events, the black swans i.
Things that gain from disorder, offers 61 reading recommendations in his own words. Nassim nicholas taleb, born in 1960, spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafes across the planet. Crni labud nasim nikolas taleb delfi knjizare sve dobre. Mar 24, 2008 nassim nicholas taleb is an essayist, belletrist, and researcher only interested in one single topic, chance particularly extreme and rare events, the black swans i. Ili, kako kaze taleb, crni labud je kombinacija slabe predvidivosti usled nasih zabluda o izglednosti iznenadenja i snaznog uticaja. That is the theme of the provocative, sometimes playful and often infuriating book, antifragile. See all books authored by nassim nicholas taleb, including the black swan. Nassim nicholas taleb defines a black swan as a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics. Siegel july 16, 20 investment professionals know the value of a convex bond it gains more from falling rates than it loses from rising ones. O njemu sam pisala u vise navrata proteklih godina, od samog prvog izdanja knjige na engleskom jeziku, odusevljena knjigom crni labud, kao i samim talebom filozof, menadzer u upravljanju rizicima, bivsi trader, pisac i autor teorije o crnim labudovima. Nov 29, 2012 taleb actually has something new to say that is worth pondering.
To prevail in an uncertain world, get convex laurence b. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist a saying that became reinterpreted to. Neprocitane knjige i crni labud astronomski magazin. Taleb says government bonds to collapse, avoid stocks. And in a world where largescale, unpredictable events are the norm, pondering it is. Aug 09, 2012 nassim taleb is a profound thinker and quite mysterious character, and to say his website still looks like it is stuck in the 90s is probably a compliment. Nassim taleb, distinguished scientific advisor at universa, the black swan and antifragile author, weighs in on the 2016 election and the potential market reaction to either candidate. His incerto the body of his work, latin for uncertaintyhas changed my life more profoundly than any author except maybe nietzsche or seneca he recently released, for free, a new workinprogress currently titles more aphorisms, maxims, and heuristics. He is a bayesian in epistemological terms, he agrees bayesian thinking is how we learn what we know. Woodrow wilson school of public and international affairs 81,568 views. It has some interesting things, but i think he pushes his arguments a bit too far, and because he is an entertaining writer, the general public doesnt know the counterarguments to the points he makes in his book. And in a world where largescale, unpredictable events are the norm, pondering it is important. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively.
May 22, 2017 nassim taleb, hedgefund adviser and author of the black swan, may be a prophet of doom when it comes to the perilous state of financial markets, but, in a rare splash of cheer, he says he. Nov 03, 2016 nassim taleb, distinguished scientific advisor at universa, the black swan and antifragile author, weighs in on the 2016 election and the potential market reaction to either candidate. The black swan is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error. Prije par dana gost konferencije koja je odrzana u zagrebu bio je nassim nicholas taleb. May 03, 2017 he is a bayesian in epistemological terms, he agrees bayesian thinking is how we learn what we know. He is the author of fooled by randomness and the black swan, which has spent more than a year on the new york times bestseller list and has become an intellectual, social, and cultural touchstone. In a short new paper, taleb argues that new entrants into finance simply wont be able to outcompete existing investment managers. The other books in the series are fooled by randomness, the black swan, skin in the game, and the bed of procrustes. Za dogadaje tipa crni labud velikim slovom upotrebio sam logicnu metaforu s crnim labudom malim slovom, ali ovaj problem ne bi trebalo brkati s logickim problemom koji postavljaju brojni filozofi. Antifragile is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decisionmaking in a world we dont understand. Taleb, the author of the black swan and antifragile, is the distinguished.
The wall street journal this is the lesson of nassim taleb and also the lesson of our volatile times. Nassim nicholas taleb find out how to protect your nest egg, why steve jobs was an artisan but elon musk isnt, and so much more. Nasim taleb crni labud uticaj krajnje neverovatnih zbivanja pdf pdf zip. Nasim taleb crni labud uticaj krajnje neverovatnih zbivanja pdf. In january, he also warned of the systemic risks of the coronavirus pandemic. For someone advocating doubt and criticizing expert and regular peoples overconfidence and arrogance, talebs writings are filled with certainty, anger, and immodesty, having the godelian impossibility of someone shouting i am the most humble. Nassim taleb is a profound thinker and quite mysterious character, and to say his website still looks like it is stuck in the 90s is probably a compliment. On robustness and fragility incerto paperback may 11, 2010. But, what do you think about his viewpoints when it comes to finance and investing.
Nasim nikolas taleb je knjizevnik, statisticar, nekadasnji berzanski broker i analiticar rizika. Black swan je metafora za iznenadni dogadaj sa dalekoseznim posljedicama, odnosno za koncept modernog menadzmenta koji umjesto njihovog predvidanja i izbjegavanja organizacije i sisteme navodi na elementarnu pripremljenost za nosenje sa njihovim posljedicama. In january, he also warned of the systemic risks of the coronavirus. Nassim nicholas taleb, brandon yarckin, chitpuneet mann, damir delic, mark spitznagel subjects.
Nassim talebs distinction between robust and antifragile is worth reflecting on illustration. Crni labud, nassim nicholas taleb, jesenski i turk, 2009. Za dogadaje tipa crni labud velikim slovom upotrebio sam logicnu metaforu s crnim. Mar 04, 2014 nassim nicholas taleb is far and away my favorite thinker living today. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics. Crni labud nassim nicholas taleb 200000391 osnovna je autorova teza da suprotno dosadasnjim spoznajama nasim planetom dominira ekstremno, nepoznato i vrlo neizgledno po trenutacnim spoznajama. The debut of bitcoin futures is getting all sorts of attention, and nassim taleb has weighed in with his two cryptocents. Nassim taleb, the polarizing author of bestselling books the black swan and antifragile.
195 175 1362 1367 1339 1028 1107 1223 848 1443 1178 715 1184 45 151 839 963 415 1059 119 934 448 43 526 1310 1394 1399 842 1145 390 336 1421 1079 1053